While a marketing and public relations tool for SwampButt …
The SwampButt Underwear ‘Scale of Sultry’ Delivers Surprisingly Accurate Results Through Week 12
Slug: How Weather, Heat, Humidity, Climate, and Conditioning Affect College Football.
November 18, 2025 — The SwampButt Underwear ‘Scale of Sultry’ has accurately predicted 10 college football game outcomes through Week 12, successfully forecasting four incorrectly and resulting in three ties. This proprietary system, created by SwampButt Underwear, currently boasts a record of 44 wins, 27 losses, and 3 ties for the 2025 season, achieving a 62% accuracy rate. This result is surprising to anyone familiar with college football predictions, including its creator, SwampButt Underwear inventor and owner Harold Nicoll. The ‘Scale of Sultry’ assesses climate advantages on a 1–10 scale, converting this into a Sultry Spread (Home minus Visitor). A positive spread indicates a potential advantage for the home team due to climate conditions, while a negative spread signals conditions that may benefit the visiting team.
The Evolution of Evolving Ideas
The ‘Scale of Sultry’ originated from an early promotion by SwampButt Underwear called ‘Fans in the Stands,’ which listed the hottest and most humid locations for watching college football each week. The Scale builds on that concept, providing insight into how weather, climate, and location can influence game outcomes.
It’s important to note that the Scale of Sultry does not predict betting odds, over/under, or any factors other than weather and climate conditions. While it may not be as refined as older, more complex models that do incorporate such factors, its performance is commendable. “Based on my own experiences, I believe that athletes who train in hot and humid climates are better conditioned than those who practice in cooler, drier environments,” Nicoll stated. “And those athletes will need SwampButt Underwear to keep them dry, regardless of the location.”
Just Another Marketing Ploy
The Scale of Sultry also serves as a marketing initiative to promote the SwampButt Underwear brand and ultimately increase sales of men’s underwear. Nicoll acknowledged that the company continuously seeks ways to connect culture, sports, and high-sweat activities to its products. “We create features and tie-ins with various themes, including golf, softball, spring break, Santa Claus, Thanksgiving, pumpkin spice beverages served in August, back-to-school promotions, and even the Easter Bunny,” he said. “In 2020, we awarded the SwampButt Underwear ‘Turnover-Turnover’ to the college football team with the most turnovers, which was represented by a plate of actual turnovers.”
In God We Trust, Others Bring Data
To quantify predictions, Nicoll developed a mathematical model that compares game day conditions to the home and visiting teams’ respective environments. The Scale of Sultry Index employs a qualitative 1–10 scale estimating discomfort related to heat and humidity; values above 6 indicate sweaty, fatiguing conditions that may favor teams from Gulf or Atlantic Coast regions, while values below 4 signify cooler, drier conditions typical of northern autumn play. This semi-scientific yet data-driven model aims to highlight the significance of heat and moisture management in college football predictions. “Achieving over 60% accuracy through Week 12 was a huge surprise,” Nicoll admitted. “I never expected this formula and methodology to yield such results, as it was initially intended as only a promotional tool.”
Comparison with Other Systems
For reference, ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) has historically achieved a 75% accuracy rate in predicting winners of matchups between FBS teams over the last decade, with success increasing to 77% in the past four seasons. Bill Connelly’s SP+ model generally rates above 50% against the spread and is recognized for its reliable win probability calibration. A Reddit user noted that it has averaged around 55% accuracy against the spread in previous years. “We do not have the extensive sample size or long-term track records that these systems possess,” Nicoll stated. “However, we believe we have enough information to prompt physical fitness professionals, coaches, and strength and conditioning trainers, as well as fitness enthusiasts, to study the effects of weather, climate, and conditioning more closely.”
About SwampButt Underwear
SwampButt Underwear is designed for men who experience excessive sweating, which can lead to discomfort in traditional underwear, jeans, shorts, and even tuxedos. Men who sweat so much, their perspiration leaks through their clothing. Visible butt sweat is unsightly, messy, staining, and stinky. Sports such as football, particularly at the collegiate level, exacerbate these conditions. Made from a blend of lycra and spandex, SwampButt Underwear incorporates chelated silver to combat odors. SwampButt Underwear™ is a registered trademark in the USA and other countries. We invested significantly in securing this trademark, so please do not use it without permission.
CAPTION: The SwampButt Underwear Mascot Rufus helps illustrate that the Scale of Sultry only uses weather, climate and game day conditions to make its predictions.