#1 • Saturday, October 3 • 11:00 AM CT • ESPN2
UCF at Houston
Home-location SOS: UCF 7.1 • Houston 6.7
The SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry
College Football Week 5
The SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry
Is Going to the Game
All 59 Week 5 final scores are in. SOS finished 30–29, with the featured eight at 4–4. The season record is 209–179, including the Week 0 pilot.
Eight featured Week 5 games. Original forecasts. Final scores and prediction outcomes.
Explore Your Week 5 Results
Start with the eight featured games—or see all 59 Week 5 final scores alongside the saved pregame Scale of Sultry forecasts, original picks and betting favorites.
The SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry — Week 5 Featured Results
Week 5 covers October 1–3, 2026. All results are final and were verified October 5. Featured kickoff times below are Central. The September 29 frozen SOS forecasts and original picks are preserved; forecast conditions are not observations of game-day weather.
#2 • Saturday, October 3 • 5:00 PM CT • ESPN+
Texas Southern at Florida Atlantic
Home-location SOS: Texas Southern 6.6 • Florida Atlantic 7.2
#3 • Saturday, October 3 • 6:30 PM CT • ESPNU
Temple at South Florida
Home-location SOS: Temple 3.5 • South Florida 6.8
#4 • Saturday, October 3 • 6:00 PM CT • ESPN+
UTSA at Rice
Home-location SOS: UTSA 5.6 • Rice 6.7
#5 • Saturday, October 3 • 10:59 PM CT • MW+
San José State at Hawaiʻi
Home-location SOS: San José State 4.2 • Hawaiʻi 6.4
#6 • Saturday, October 3 • 2:30 PM CT • ESPN2
Virginia at Florida State
Home-location SOS: Virginia 3.9 • Florida State 6.3
#7 • Saturday, October 3 • 6:30 PM CT • NBC
Washington at USC
Home-location SOS: Washington 4.3 • USC 6.2
#8 • Saturday, October 3 • 6:00 PM CT • ESPN2
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Home-location SOS: Arkansas 5.7 • Texas A&M 5.9
Fans First: Conditions Beyond Kickoff
The walk from the parking lot, tailgating, entry lines and hours in exposed seats all contribute to the fan experience. The SOS forecast describes outdoor conditions; it does not predict medical emergencies or prove that weather caused a game’s outcome.
SOS vs. Betting Favorites
On the same 57 games with saved pregame favorites, SOS finished 29–28 (50.9%) and betting favorites finished 41–16 (71.9%). The picks agreed in 35 games and differed in 22. When they differed, SOS was correct in 5 and the favorite in 17.
Texas Southern–Florida Atlantic and McNeese–LSU had no saved consensus line and are excluded from both sides of this comparison. Favorites were archived October 1; this compares outright winners, not point spreads, closing odds or betting returns.
View the full Week 5 recap and source notes • Week 4 results archive
2026 record
Week 5: 30–29 — 50.8% accuracy.
Featured eight: 4–4.
Season: 209–179 — 53.9% accuracy, including the Week 0 pilot.
All 59 games are final. Results verified October 5, 2026.
How the prediction works
The pick favors the school whose home-venue-city Scale of Sultry forecast is higher near kickoff. These forecasts are a proxy for a possible conditioning edge, not historical climate averages or measurements of training exposure. Picks use unrounded scores; an exact tie goes to the home team.
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The Scale of Sultry is an informational and entertainment tool, not an official weather warning or betting recommendation. Follow local authorities and venue guidance during dangerous heat or severe weather.