The SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry

College Football Week 4

The SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry

Is Going to the Game

The Week 4 forecast is live for all 71 Division I college football games. The Scale of Sultry combines game-site weather with each team’s home-campus conditions to identify a possible heat-conditioning edge.

Eight featured Week 4 games. Eight forecasts. Eight SwampButt conditioning predictions.

Choose Your Week 4 Forecast

Start with the eight featured games from the SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry—or see all 71 Week 4 games with kickoff time, location, saved Scale of Sultry forecast and predicted winner.

Eight Featured Games
All 71 Week 4 Games and Forecasts

Or open the Scale of Sultry calculator

The SwampButt Underwear Scale of Sultry — Week 4 Featured Games

Week 4 runs Thursday, September 24 through Saturday, September 26, 2026. Times below are Eastern. Forecasts were refreshed September 23 before kickoff. Earlier predictions and the calculation inputs are preserved. Results will be added after the games.

#1 • Saturday, September 26 • 12 PM ET • ABC

Texas at Tennessee

Venue: Neyland Stadium

City: Knoxville, Tennessee

Game-site forecast: 3.8/10 — A little sultry

Prediction: Texas to win

Home-location SOS: Texas 6.0 • Tennessee 3.8

#2 • Saturday, September 26 • 7:30 PM ET • ABC

Texas A&M at LSU

Venue: Tiger Stadium

City: Baton Rouge, Louisiana

Game-site forecast: 5.5/10 — Sultry

Prediction: Texas A&M to win

Home-location SOS: Texas A&M 5.8 • LSU 5.5

#3 • Saturday, September 26 • 6 PM ET • ESPN+

Long Island University at Florida International

Venue: Pitbull Stadium

City: Miami, Florida

Game-site forecast: 6.4/10 — Sultry

Prediction: Florida International to win

Home-location SOS: Long Island University 3.6 • Florida International 6.4

#4 • Saturday, September 26 • 6:30 PM ET • CW

Central Michigan at Miami

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

City: Miami Gardens, Florida

Game-site forecast: 6.3/10 — Sultry

Prediction: Miami to win

Home-location SOS: Central Michigan 4.5 • Miami 6.3

#5 • Saturday, September 26 • 12 PM ET • ESPN2

Colorado at Baylor

Venue: McLane Stadium

City: Waco, Texas

Game-site forecast: 6.1/10 — Sultry

Prediction: Baylor to win

Home-location SOS: Colorado 4.4 • Baylor 6.1

#6 • Saturday, September 26 • 3:30 PM ET • FS1

TCU at UCF

Venue: Acrisure Bounce House

City: Orlando, Florida

Game-site forecast: 6.1/10 — Sultry

Prediction: UCF to win

Home-location SOS: TCU 5.9 • UCF 6.1

#7 • Saturday, September 26 • 3:30 PM ET • ABC

Ole Miss at Florida

Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

City: Gainesville, Florida

Game-site forecast: 5.1/10 — Sultry

Prediction: Ole Miss to win

Home-location SOS: Ole Miss 5.4 • Florida 5.1

#8 • Saturday, September 26 • 7:30 PM ET • NBC

Oregon at USC

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

City: Los Angeles, California

Game-site forecast: 5.1/10 — Sultry

Prediction: USC to win

Home-location SOS: Oregon 3.6 • USC 5.1

2026 record

146–112 through Week 3 — 57% accuracy. Week 4 outcomes will be added after the games.

How the prediction works

The pick favors the school whose home-venue-city Scale of Sultry forecast is higher near kickoff. These forecasts are a proxy for a possible conditioning edge, not historical climate averages or measurements of training exposure. Picks use unrounded scores; an exact tie goes to the home team.

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The Scale of Sultry is an informational and entertainment tool, not an official weather warning or betting recommendation. Follow local authorities and venue guidance during dangerous heat or severe weather.