SwampButt Scale of Sultry Sweats Out a 61% Win Rate

Conditions were especially severe during Texas’ 59–7 victory over Texas State in Austin. The temperature reached 102 degrees, with a reported feels-like temperature of approximately 104 to 105. A widely circulated photograph showed spectators crowded beneath the stadium seeking shade.

A college football prediction model that ignored rankings, betting lines, coaching, injuries and player talent correctly selected 55 of 90 Week 1 winners. The SwampButt Underwear™ Scale of Sultry finished the first full week of the 2026 college football season with a 55–35 record—61% accuracy—after making every selection using one deliberately narrow variable: which team was accustomed to the hotter and more humid home environment.

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