SwampButt Underwear’s weather experiment picks Houston, Texas, and Oklahoma State among this weekend’s winners

LAKE JACKSON, Texas, Nov. 13, 2026 — The calendar says November, but the SwampButt Underwear™ Scale of Sultry is still thinking about August.

As college football teams travel across the country for Week 11, the Scale is comparing the heat and humidity recorded near their campuses on August 15 with a question in mind: Could a team’s exposure to summer conditions have any relationship to what happens when it takes the field?

Among this week’s featured selections, the Scale picks Houston over Colorado, Texas over LSU, and Oklahoma State over Texas Tech. It also favors Baylor at BYU and makes a narrow selection of Tennessee over Texas A&M.

The Houston–Colorado matchup offers one of the weekend’s most striking contrasts. Houston’s August 15 campus score was 6.6 out of 10, compared with 2.5 for Colorado. The Scale selects Houston, although the Cougars will encounter a very different setting in Boulder from the conditions represented by that August baseline.

Texas and LSU have a closer comparison. Texas registered an August campus score of 8.1, while LSU scored 7.3, giving the Longhorns the Scale’s selection for their trip to Baton Rouge.

The Texas A&M–Tennessee comparison is tighter still: Tennessee’s campus score rounds to 8.0, while the Aggies’ rounds to 7.9. Under the Scale’s rule, Tennessee gets the pick.

The Featured Eight

Matchup	August campus SOS: visitor / home	Scale’s pick
Houston at Colorado	6.6 / 2.5	Houston
Auburn at Mississippi State	7.5 / 8.8	Mississippi State
Kansas State at TCU	4.7 / 6.6	TCU
Tennessee at Texas A&M	8.0 / 7.9	Tennessee
Missouri at Georgia	6.4 / 7.8	Georgia
Baylor at BYU	7.4 / 2.9	Baylor
Texas at LSU	8.1 / 7.3	Texas
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	4.7 / 6.5	Oklahoma State

The revised Scale uses an August 15 weather baseline for each school’s campus area. For each matchup, it selects the team with the higher campus score. Displayed scores are rounded, but the selection uses the underlying unrounded values.

The campus score is a weather proxy, not a direct measurement of a team’s practices or conditioning. This is an entertainment and research experiment; the selections do not establish that heat or humidity will determine a game’s outcome.

Game-day conditions are a separate part of the story. Fans should check their local stadium forecast before heading out, since a November game in Boulder can call for a very different plan from an afternoon in Texas or the Southeast. The kickoff forecasts and game-site sultriness scores are not yet included in this week’s table.

In Week 10, the revised campus-baseline model went 29–25 on 54 eligible pregame selections, including 4–4 among the featured games. That record is separate from the original Scale of Sultry model because the two versions use different selection methods.

Whether the air is cool and crisp or stubbornly sticky, the Scale will be watching to see how its Week 11 picks hold up.

About SwampButt Underwear

SwampButt Underwear is a Lake Jackson, Texas-based men’s underwear brand designed to help manage moisture and improve comfort. The Scale of Sultry combines the brand’s interest in heat, humidity and a little football fun.

Complete Week 11 picks

The following table covers the Friday–Saturday FBS schedule. Scores are the August 15 campus baselines, shown as visitor / home. The higher unrounded score determines the pick. The schedule is based on the NCAA’s Week 11 listing. www.ncaa.com

Friday, November 13

Game	Campus SOS	Scale’s pick
Florida State at Pittsburgh	7.4 / 2.9	Florida State*
Illinois at UCLA	3.7 / 1.6	Illinois
Houston at Colorado	6.6 / 2.5	Houston

* Florida State–Pittsburgh was underway when checked. Treat this as a retrospective calculation, not a verified pregame pick.

Saturday, November 14

Game	Campus SOS	Scale’s pick
Duke at Miami	4.9 / 5.8	Miami
Northwestern at Ohio State	1.9 / 3.7	Ohio State
Wake Forest at SMU	5.2 / 6.0	SMU
Cincinnati at Iowa State	4.6 / 4.3	Cincinnati
Auburn at Mississippi State	7.5 / 8.8	Mississippi State
Syracuse at NC State	2.4 / 5.7	NC State
Wisconsin at Maryland	2.9 / 3.9	Maryland
James Madison at UConn	3.7 / 2.3	James Madison
Georgia Tech at Clemson	6.3 / 6.6	Clemson
Nebraska at Rutgers	4.6 / 2.5	Nebraska
Alabama at Vanderbilt	7.7 / 7.6	Alabama
East Carolina at Charlotte	6.3 / 6.4	Charlotte
UAB at Temple	6.3 / 3.7	UAB
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	7.4 / 8.3	Coastal Carolina
Kansas State at TCU	4.7 / 6.6	TCU
Tulane at Rice	6.6 / 6.6	Tulane†
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston	5.5 / 8.0	Sam Houston
Tennessee at Texas A&M	8.0 / 7.9	Tennessee
New Mexico State at Missouri State	3.9 / 6.0	Missouri State
FIU at Delaware	5.8 / 4.2	FIU
Missouri at Georgia	6.4 / 7.8	Georgia
USC at Indiana	1.8 / 4.1	Indiana
Baylor at BYU	7.4 / 2.9	Baylor
Boston College at Notre Dame	1.6 / 2.8	Notre Dame
Michigan at Oregon	2.6 / 1.9	Michigan
Arizona State at UCF	5.7 / 7.1	UCF
California at Virginia	1.0 / 4.0	Virginia
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	5.4 / 6.2	Tulsa
Nevada at Northern Illinois	2.6 / 2.0	Nevada
Georgia Southern at Georgia State	8.4 / 6.3	Georgia Southern
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky	6.7 / 6.3	Jacksonville State
Middle Tennessee at Liberty	6.2 / 4.0	Middle Tennessee
Fresno State at Texas State	4.0 / 9.6	Texas State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma	7.0 / 5.7	Ole Miss
Washington at Michigan State	1.7 / 1.8	Michigan State
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	7.6 / 8.2	Louisiana Tech
Kansas at West Virginia	5.1 / 3.2	Kansas
Oregon State at Boise State	1.6 / 3.1	Boise State
Appalachian State at Marshall	3.8 / 5.9	Marshall
Florida at Kentucky	6.7 / 6.2	Florida
Louisville at North Carolina	6.5 / 4.9	Louisville
Minnesota at Penn State	3.0 / 2.6	Minnesota
San Jose State at Air Force	1.5 / 1.4	San Jose State
Troy at South Alabama	7.6 / 8.3	South Alabama
Utah at Arizona	2.8 / 4.7	Arizona
Texas at LSU	8.1 / 7.3	Texas
Purdue at Iowa	3.7 / 5.4	Iowa
Stanford at Virginia Tech	1.0 / 5.0	Virginia Tech
UNLV at New Mexico	3.3 / 3.2	UNLV
South Carolina at Arkansas	7.9 / 7.1	South Carolina
North Texas at UTSA	6.6 / 7.9	UTSA
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	4.7 / 6.5	Oklahoma State
Utah State at San Diego State	2.5 / 2.0	Utah State
Wyoming at UTEP	1.2 / 4.4	UTEP
Colorado State at Washington State	3.8 / 2.4	Colorado State
North Dakota State at Hawai‘i	2.4 / 3.4	Hawai‘i

† Tulane and Rice both display 6.6, but Tulane’s underlying unrounded score is higher.

Games already played Tuesday through Thursday

These eight calculations were made after the games were played. They help complete the week’s schedule but should not be counted as pregame predictions.

Game	Campus SOS	Retrospective selection	Final
Western Michigan at Akron	1.5 / 2.0	Akron	Western Michigan 42–14
Kent State at Bowling Green	2.0 / 2.5	Bowling Green	Bowling Green 33–28
Ohio at Miami (OH)	4.3 / 3.6	Ohio	Miami (OH) 34–17
Buffalo at Ball State	2.2 / 2.8	Ball State	Buffalo 28–7
Sacramento State at Central Michigan	3.4 / 2.8	Sacramento State	Central Michigan 28–7
UMass at Toledo	2.5 / 2.5	Toledo†	Toledo 24–0
Memphis at South Florida	5.9 / 8.0	South Florida	Memphis 52–41
Louisiana at ULM	7.2 / 7.7	ULM	Louisiana 42–21

† Toledo’s unrounded score is slightly higher than UMass’s. The final scores above are from the Week 11 scoreboard. Dandy Don’s LSU Sporting News

The retrospective selections went 2–6, but that result should remain separate from the pregame record. I have prepared the article here for your review; it has not been posted to the website.

The campus score is a weather proxy, not a direct measurement of a team’s practices or conditioning. This is an entertainment and research experiment; the selections do not establish that heat or humidity will determine a game’s outcome.

Game-day conditions are a separate part of the story. Fans should check their local stadium forecast before heading out, since a November game in Boulder can call for a very different plan from an afternoon in Texas or the Southeast. The kickoff forecasts and game-site sultriness scores are not yet included in this week’s table.

In Week 10, the revised campus-baseline model went 29–25 on 54 eligible pregame selections, including 4–4 among the featured games. That record is separate from the original Scale of Sultry model because the two versions use different selection methods.

Whether the air is cool and crisp or stubbornly sticky, the Scale will be watching to see how its Week 11 picks hold up.

About SwampButt Underwear

SwampButt Underwear is a Lake Jackson, Texas-based men’s underwear brand designed to help manage moisture and improve comfort. The Scale of Sultry combines the brand’s interest in heat, humidity and a little football fun. SwampButt Underwear makes moisture-wicking underwear for men who sweat. The company combines practical performance apparel with a lighthearted approach to an uncomfortable and often embarrassing problem. Learn more at swampbutt.com. SwampButt Underwear™ is a registered trademark in the United States and other countries. We paid a lot for it so please only use it with written permission.

Complete Week 11 picks

The following table covers the Friday–Saturday FBS schedule. Scores are the August 15 campus baselines, shown as visitor / home. The higher unrounded score determines the pick. The schedule is based on the NCAA’s Week 11 listing. www.ncaa.com

Friday, November 13

Game	Campus SOS	Scale’s pick
Florida State at Pittsburgh	7.4 / 2.9	Florida State*
Illinois at UCLA	3.7 / 1.6	Illinois
Houston at Colorado	6.6 / 2.5	Houston

* Florida State–Pittsburgh was underway when checked. Treat this as a retrospective calculation, not a verified pregame pick.

Saturday, November 14

Game	Campus SOS	Scale’s pick
Duke at Miami	4.9 / 5.8	Miami
Northwestern at Ohio State	1.9 / 3.7	Ohio State
Wake Forest at SMU	5.2 / 6.0	SMU
Cincinnati at Iowa State	4.6 / 4.3	Cincinnati
Auburn at Mississippi State	7.5 / 8.8	Mississippi State
Syracuse at NC State	2.4 / 5.7	NC State
Wisconsin at Maryland	2.9 / 3.9	Maryland
James Madison at UConn	3.7 / 2.3	James Madison
Georgia Tech at Clemson	6.3 / 6.6	Clemson
Nebraska at Rutgers	4.6 / 2.5	Nebraska
Alabama at Vanderbilt	7.7 / 7.6	Alabama
East Carolina at Charlotte	6.3 / 6.4	Charlotte
UAB at Temple	6.3 / 3.7	UAB
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	7.4 / 8.3	Coastal Carolina
Kansas State at TCU	4.7 / 6.6	TCU
Tulane at Rice	6.6 / 6.6	Tulane†
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston	5.5 / 8.0	Sam Houston
Tennessee at Texas A&M	8.0 / 7.9	Tennessee
New Mexico State at Missouri State	3.9 / 6.0	Missouri State
FIU at Delaware	5.8 / 4.2	FIU
Missouri at Georgia	6.4 / 7.8	Georgia
USC at Indiana	1.8 / 4.1	Indiana
Baylor at BYU	7.4 / 2.9	Baylor
Boston College at Notre Dame	1.6 / 2.8	Notre Dame
Michigan at Oregon	2.6 / 1.9	Michigan
Arizona State at UCF	5.7 / 7.1	UCF
California at Virginia	1.0 / 4.0	Virginia
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	5.4 / 6.2	Tulsa
Nevada at Northern Illinois	2.6 / 2.0	Nevada
Georgia Southern at Georgia State	8.4 / 6.3	Georgia Southern
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky	6.7 / 6.3	Jacksonville State
Middle Tennessee at Liberty	6.2 / 4.0	Middle Tennessee
Fresno State at Texas State	4.0 / 9.6	Texas State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma	7.0 / 5.7	Ole Miss
Washington at Michigan State	1.7 / 1.8	Michigan State
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	7.6 / 8.2	Louisiana Tech
Kansas at West Virginia	5.1 / 3.2	Kansas
Oregon State at Boise State	1.6 / 3.1	Boise State
Appalachian State at Marshall	3.8 / 5.9	Marshall
Florida at Kentucky	6.7 / 6.2	Florida
Louisville at North Carolina	6.5 / 4.9	Louisville
Minnesota at Penn State	3.0 / 2.6	Minnesota
San Jose State at Air Force	1.5 / 1.4	San Jose State
Troy at South Alabama	7.6 / 8.3	South Alabama
Utah at Arizona	2.8 / 4.7	Arizona
Texas at LSU	8.1 / 7.3	Texas
Purdue at Iowa	3.7 / 5.4	Iowa
Stanford at Virginia Tech	1.0 / 5.0	Virginia Tech
UNLV at New Mexico	3.3 / 3.2	UNLV
South Carolina at Arkansas	7.9 / 7.1	South Carolina
North Texas at UTSA	6.6 / 7.9	UTSA
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	4.7 / 6.5	Oklahoma State
Utah State at San Diego State	2.5 / 2.0	Utah State
Wyoming at UTEP	1.2 / 4.4	UTEP
Colorado State at Washington State	3.8 / 2.4	Colorado State
North Dakota State at Hawai‘i	2.4 / 3.4	Hawai‘i

† Tulane and Rice both display 6.6, but Tulane’s underlying unrounded score is higher.

Games already played Tuesday through Thursday

These eight calculations were made after the games were played. They help complete the week’s schedule but should not be counted as pregame predictions.

Game	Campus SOS	Retrospective selection	Final
Western Michigan at Akron	1.5 / 2.0	Akron	Western Michigan 42–14
Kent State at Bowling Green	2.0 / 2.5	Bowling Green	Bowling Green 33–28
Ohio at Miami (OH)	4.3 / 3.6	Ohio	Miami (OH) 34–17
Buffalo at Ball State	2.2 / 2.8	Ball State	Buffalo 28–7
Sacramento State at Central Michigan	3.4 / 2.8	Sacramento State	Central Michigan 28–7
UMass at Toledo	2.5 / 2.5	Toledo†	Toledo 24–0
Memphis at South Florida	5.9 / 8.0	South Florida	Memphis 52–41
Louisiana at ULM	7.2 / 7.7	ULM	Louisiana 42–21

† Toledo’s unrounded score is slightly higher than UMass’s. The final scores above are from the Week 11 scoreboard. Dandy Don’s LSU Sporting News

The retrospective selections went 2–6, but that result should remain separate from the pregame record. I have prepared the article here for your review; it has not been posted to the website.